March 14th, 2021
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A solid second-week performance will be enough to keep Raya and the Last Dragon at the top of the box office chart this weekend, according to studio estimates released on Sunday morning. Its strength contributed to unusually large declines for the movies competing with it for family audiences, but generally it looks as though this weekend will continue the modest growth trend in the theatrical market.
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March 12th, 2021
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After a relative flurry of new wide releases earlier in the month, this weekend sees no films opening in over 1,000 theaters. We do, however, have a close race at the top of the chart to look forward to, and a nearly-wide release that could tell us something about the state of the theatrical market as more theaters open and some potential moviegoers receive their pandemic recovery checks. We’re almost certainly going to have a down week as Raya and the Last Dragon, Chaos Walking, and Boogie decline from their opening weekend numbers.
First up though, let’s look at the potential for this week’s kind-of-wide release Long Weekend…
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March 7th, 2021
Raya and the Last Dragon will top the box office chart on its debut weekend with about $8.6 million according to Disney’s Sunday morning projection. While that’s 13% below our model’s $9.87 million prediction, and well behind the $14.11 million earned by Tom and Jerry last weekend, it’s a decent performance for the pandemic era, and some of the other results this weekend point towards a market that’s inching back towards recovery.
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March 5th, 2021
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After an excellent opening for Tom and Jerry last weekend, all eyes turn to Raya and the Last Dragon. With theaters reopening in New York and San Francisco, the movie’s Disney Animation pedigree and 95% score on Rotten Tomatoes, and a stronger market for family films than other fare during the pandemic, this seems like a film that could continue the process of rebuilding momentum at the box office. A simultaneous release on Disney+ could put the brakes on though, and our model isn’t convinced it’s set for box office glory.
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February 4th, 2021
Coming-of-age drama starring Taylor Takahashi, directed by Eddie Huang, opens in theaters on March 5 ... Full Movie Details.
The coming-of-age story of Alfred “Boogie” Chin, a basketball phenom living in Queens, New York, who dreams of one day playing in the NBA. While his parents pressure him to focus on earning a scholarship to an elite college, Boogie must find a way to navigate a new girlfriend, high school, on-court rivals and the burden of expectation.
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